A06B-0143-B077-7008 FANUC陸續(xù)披露的光伏行業(yè)上市公司財報展現(xiàn)出了這一產(chǎn)業(yè)獨有的“生機(jī)勃勃”。不過，大量更新的財務(wù)數(shù)據(jù)也暴露出一些耐人尋味變化，如，同一產(chǎn)鏈上下游“一榮俱榮”的規(guī)則已被打破。
僅以部分中概股“龍頭”為例，晶澳太陽能于今年第二季度實現(xiàn)了凈利潤2190萬美元，環(huán)比增長391%;天合光能實現(xiàn)凈利潤4300萬美元，環(huán)比增長175%;晶科能源實現(xiàn)凈利潤1230萬美元，環(huán)比增長50%。不僅如此，上述企業(yè)財報所公布的毛利率均超過15%，其中，天合光能、晶科能源甚至達(dá)到了20%以上?！ ?
行業(yè)變化也非常明顯，比如，制造電池片、組件等置身于產(chǎn)業(yè)中游的企業(yè)業(yè)績，明顯優(yōu)于原料端:今年第二季度，主營多晶硅的大全新能源期內(nèi)凈虧損達(dá)到90萬美元，較上一季度盈利120萬美元及去年第二季度盈利450萬美元大幅下降。而這一現(xiàn)象還不只殃及了中國企業(yè)，A06B-0143-B077-7008 FANUC同期，國際多晶硅“龍頭”REC僅實現(xiàn)稅息折舊及攤銷前利潤(EBIDTA)580萬美元，凈虧損3020萬美元;OCI基礎(chǔ)化學(xué)業(yè)務(wù)EBITDA約為7602萬美元，同比下降30%;德國瓦克多晶硅業(yè)務(wù)剔除客戶預(yù)付款及毀約補償金收益后，EBITDA約為7470萬歐元，同比下降15%。悄然間，同一產(chǎn)鏈上下游“一榮俱榮”的規(guī)則已被打破?！ ?br />
唯一能夠詮釋這一現(xiàn)象的邏輯似乎來自于多晶硅價格的“跳水”，數(shù)據(jù)顯示，自2015年以來，這種光伏原材料累計跌幅已經(jīng)達(dá)到了21.37%，人們據(jù)此推測，正是其引發(fā)了光伏上游的虧損，以及下游毛利率的相對增長?！ ?br />
而事實上，原料價格的“跳水”并不能使中下游“獨善其身”，據(jù)《證券日報》記者整理，相對于多晶硅，中下游光伏產(chǎn)品價格的下降同樣存在，只是幅度不同，例如進(jìn)入2015年以來，單晶硅片價格累計下跌了17.80%，多晶硅片下跌7.45%;單晶電池價格跌幅達(dá)11.31%，多晶電池為3.44%(其中我國臺灣產(chǎn)多晶電池價格亦下跌了2.80%);而光伏組件價格累計跌幅則達(dá)到了11.17%。
“58號文”效力并未體現(xiàn)
引發(fā)多晶硅價格跳水
A06B-0143-B077-7008 FANUC市場供需、技術(shù)進(jìn)步等等因素的疊加觸發(fā)了量變，最終引起質(zhì)變。不過，得到業(yè)界公認(rèn)的是，上述光伏產(chǎn)品的價格波動，尤其是多晶硅價格“跳水”與去年由我國商務(wù)部及海關(guān)總署聯(lián)合發(fā)布的“暫停太陽能級多晶硅加工貿(mào)易審批”2014年第58號公告(以下稱“58號文”)間關(guān)系最為緊密?！ ?br />
繼2014年1月份，我國實施了“對美國進(jìn)口太陽能級多晶硅征收53.3%-57%反傾銷稅”、“對韓國進(jìn)口太陽能級多晶硅征收2.4%-48.7%反傾銷稅”，以及2014年5月1日對自歐盟進(jìn)口太陽能級多晶硅采取貿(mào)易救濟(jì)措施(與德國瓦克達(dá)成價格協(xié)議)后，鑒于2014年1月份-8月份我國加工貿(mào)易項下多晶硅進(jìn)口出現(xiàn)激增，商務(wù)部和海關(guān)總署決定自2014年9月1日起暫停太陽能級多晶硅加工貿(mào)易進(jìn)口業(yè)務(wù)申請的受理(58號文)?！ ?br />
A06B-0143-B077-7008 FANUC這一系列舉措的出臺基于各方傾銷行為對中國太陽能級多晶硅產(chǎn)業(yè)造成的實質(zhì)損害，同時，其還被業(yè)界視作我國與美國就其對華光伏產(chǎn)業(yè)實施“雙反”進(jìn)行談判的“籌碼”。
然而，直至今日，“58號文”本應(yīng)發(fā)揮的效力并未充分顯現(xiàn)，據(jù)《證券日報》記者長期跟蹤，從去年8月份至今，我國自歐、美、韓進(jìn)口加工貿(mào)易項下太陽能級多晶硅以及貿(mào)易總量非但沒有減少，反而呈現(xiàn)激增并維持高位?！ ?
----商務(wù)熱線---廈門興銳達(dá)自動化設(shè)備有限公司
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HP 744/132L A4500-69001 VME Mainframe Computer CPU BOARD
National Instruments PCI-232/485 8 CH 184677D-01 PCI Interface Card
SIEMENS SIMATIC S5 6ES5 262-8MB13 CLOSE LOOP CONTROLLER
SMAC LAR30-025-55CV MOD 282 Linear Actuator
MKS 1150 1150C-4877V VAPOR SOURCE MASS FLOW CONTROLLER
Advantech PCE-5124G2 PCE-5B07-04 Core 2 Quad Q9550 2.8G 4GB RAM SBC System
COMTROL 5002291 ROCKETPORT PCI UNIV 32P card
Rayfire-Pro PCI 10730000 REV C
TAMS 60488 HP-IB HPIB card
HP / Agilent 4156B 04156-66503 TBR HRSMU EXCH BOARD
NuDAQ PCI-6028 REV.A3 Multi-Channel Analog Output Board
CALIBRE PCI93 BUS COMMUNICATIONS BOARD
API Controls DM 224, DM-224I-E ,Motor Driver
Scientific Atlanta IF Modulator 99002 P/N A99002.125
ACC8S Stepper Motor Interface Board, Delta Tau Data System 602644-100
YOKOGAWA F3SP38 SEQUENCE CPU
YOKOGAWA F3NC12 POSITION
YOKOGAWA F3YD64 TR OUTPUT
YOKOGAWA F3XD64 DC INPUT
Hitachi WJ200-007SF 1HP 1-phase 200-240volt INVERTER
fei 18634-B BIAS,FPS
SCADPack 5504 CONTROL MICROSYSTEMS 8 CH THERMOCOUPLE INPUT
SBS PMC-GIGABIT-DFX Dual fiber GBIC ports
Inb PRO/1000 PT Quad Port Bypass Server Adapter PCI-E EXPI9014PT
Spirent Netcom GX1420B 1-Port 100/1000Base Ethernet Adapter
Agilent 16700-66511 16700-68717 Multb PC Board
Agilent E2928A 32/64bit 66MHz PCI Exerciser and Analyzer Opt #300
Spirent Netcom SmarBits ML-7710 10/100 Fast Ethene
ASM HiPEC MOTION SOLUTION 01-18948/A
Agilent 53131A Universal Frequency Counter/Timer 5GHz Opt 050
Pro-face 2980070-04 GP2301-LG41-24V PANEL
ROCKY R538TXV V6.2 233MHz 128MB SINGLE BOARD COMPUTER
PORTWELL ROBO-678N 800MHz 256MB SINGLE BOARD COMPUTER
INDUSTRY BOARD PEAK 555 1GB 256MB HALF SIZE CPU CARD
U500 CONTROL BD. 690D1470 (REV.C4) ESP760
PCL-746+ 4 PORT RS232/422/485 CARD
NATIONAL INSTRUMENTS IMAQ PCI-1422 185652D/E/F-02
OMRON CPU42 C200HE-CPU42-E PROGRAMMABLE CONTROLLER
ORIENTAL AXUD25A SPEED CONTROL UNIT
YAKOGAWA PS495 0950-2211 Power Supply for 54750A 83480A E2602A
NSK ESA ESA-0810A35-21.1 DRIVER
Agilent E4432B Signal Generator ESG-D SERIES
HP / Agilent 08360-60209 YO PHASE DETECTOR BOARD
HP / Agilent 08360-60014 SWEEP GENERATOR BOARD
HP / Agilent 08360-60188 PULSE 50 GHZ Board
HP / Agilent 08360-60010 FRACTIONAL N Board
HP / Agilent 08360-60206 ALC Board
HP / Agilent 08360-60264 CPU Board
Rofin Sinar SeNr 804 4101 with 707-3294
EMC 100-561-091 8 Port GBE I/O Board WITH 2 SFP Transceiver
EMC 100-561-040 4 Port 4Gb Fibre I/O Board WITH 4 X Finisar P/N:019-078-032
National Instruments NI 184677C-01 PCI 8-Port RS232 Serial Interface
National Instruments PCI-6071E 184411E-01 Multifunction DAQ
ACUITY IMAGING LG-3 Frame Grabber REV C PC
Delta Tau PMAC-PCI 603588-104 603605-106 Flex CPU
MYCOM UPS52-130 5-PHASE MOTOR DRIVER
Cognex MVS-8602e CFG-8602E-001 RevC Opt H9 Camera Link PCI Express Frame Grabber
Euresys DOMINO ALPHA 2 EUR 1160_A2_4 REV.A2 Frame Grabber Card
Accelnet 800-1593B DIGITAL DRIVE
HP / Agilent 4156B 04155-66501 CPU and GSP BOARD
HP / Agilent 04155-66502 Analog to Digital Converter Board
GALIL DMC1730 3 AXIS MOTION CONTROLLER
LUCAS EGLOFF AG TFM 064-06-09-F 4 Axes Servo Drive
Panasonic N1F8RC12A LA8000-625 + FA8000-635 Camera Controller
GUZIK 307870 BEETLE
GUZIK 310360 PCI HOST ADAPTER
Agilent 89605B 75000 SERIES C
BECKHOFF FC9004 FC 9004 PCI Ethernet
HP 54751A 20 GHz MODULE
HP 54711A ATTENUATOR
Processor Interface Board for Tektronix TDS8000 Digital Sampling Oscilloscope
COGNEX VME 4200 EX SERIES VPM-4214EXK-00 MACHINE VISION
FORCE SPARC P/N: 105949 PCA MEM 50L-5/256
COGNEX VM16 203-0043-R B1 BOARD
OREGON MICRO SYSTEMS PC58-8 ISA MOTION CONTROLLER
OREGON MICRO SYSTEMS VME 44
Matrox Genesis GEN/X/00/8/STD
EMC CX3-40F CLARiiON 100-562-144 Storage Processor Blade
HEWLETT PACKARD E1740E 75000 SERIES C TIME INTERVAL ANALYZER
YASKAWA JUSP-ACP05KAA 200V SERVO DRIVE
Kollmorgen Servostar 600 610 S61000-SE
GALIL DMC-2260 Ethernet 10/100-baseT/RS232 6-axis MOTION CONTROLLER
VAT PM-5 641PM-16PM-1003/047 ADAPTIVE PRESSURE CONTROLLER
COMPACTPCI COMPACT PCI NEC NBC-I NBC-IC5B 277-055175-006 SBC
XYCOM DIO XVME-244 DIGITAL I/O VME BOARD
ESEC SA 931.900/2
PHILLIPS PG3752 SBIP 40 MHz VME BOARD 8122 284 3651
ESEC SA 92120 SYS68K / CPU-655 P/N:100606
SBS Technologies IP-488 IEEE-488 Instrumentation Bus IP IndustryPack
TEWS VIPC627-ET VME carrier card with four IP Sl
INTEL EXPI9404PF PRO/1000 PF QUAD PORT SERVER ADAPTER
MICRO STEP MC-5514 5-phase stepping motor driver
EDWARDS ED-D39620000 controller For Edwards turbomolecular pumps
AGILENT N1912-60002 DISPLAY INTERFACE BOARD
LQ038Q5DR01 SHARP LCD SCREEN FOR AGILENT N1913A
PCI-7851 HIGH SPEED LINK MASTER CONTROLLER INTERFACE
AVAL DATA AVME-132BF MPU-32BF TSM-132-2
HITACHI ZOSEN HIMV-134 C PCB CARD, HIMV134 HIMV 134
Kollmorgen Servostar 600 606 S60600-SE
HEWLETT PACKARD 82350A 82350-66501 REV B PCI CARD
ADLINK HSL-D132-M-N DISCRETE INPUT MODULE
Advantech PCI-7432 64-CH Isolated Digital I/O card
Jenaer Antriebstechnik ECOSTEP 100 100-AA-000-000
CYBEROPTICS PWA800 9232 REV:B BOARD
Inb PRO/1000 PT DUAL PORT NEW
HITACHI L200-004NFEF INVERTER DRIVE
ARCOM SYSTEM PCADADIO BOARD
CORECO VGAPCI OC-VGA0-K400 XR-M130-16050
CORECO OCULUS F/64P OC-F640-PD600 XR-M130-16010 Frame Grabber
Matrox HELIOS XCL ODYSSEY XCL FRAME GRABBER
RVSI 53002 REV-A VME SLAVE PROCESSOR with TTM610-E-16
YASKAWA JEPMC-REP2000 VER.A1 MECHATROLINK REPEATER
SEMICAPS SEMSCOPE SSS9905012
RVSI 53114 REV P Power Board
COGNEX In-Sight 3000 800-5808-2R RevB Camera head
YOKOGAWA F3RZ81-ON RS232 INTERFACE MODULE
ORIENTAL MOTOR 21K6GN-SWM AC MAGNETIC BRAKE MOTOR
HP 4156A PRECISION SEMICONDUCTOR PARAMETER ANALYZER
YOKOGAWA F3BU09-0N BASE
ISOMET D325-BS DEFLECTOR DRIVER
COGNEX VPM-3434-1 VM22A 203-0079-RA FRAME GRABBER
MATROX Meteor II MET2-MC/4/16F 751-0301 Multi-Channel
NuDAQ PCI-7296 Opto-22 Compatible 96-CH Digital I/O
PHYTRON CCD 93-70 MINI-H-24 Stepper Motor Drive
YASKAWA DR2-02AC-NY41 SERVOPACK
MYCOM PSU50-133 STEPPER MOTOR DRIVER
PCB Z-322J X5952NC-45
OMRON 3G8B2-NO020 OUTPUT BOARD
Dalsa X64-CL OC-64C0-02080 FRAME GRABBER
Matrox Solios eA/XA SOLM4AE SOL6M4AE PCIe Frame Grabber
Agilent 111-00043+D0 Interface Card
Teknic SST-1000-JCX Servo Stepper Drive
SIMCO 4009180 VISION CONTROLLER
VICOR VI-FKE6-CMX POWER SUPPLY 750W
HEWLETT PACKARD E3082-61014 BOARD
HEWLETT PACKARD E3005-61050 BOARD
OLYMPUS DV214600-01 AQ5276 For BH3-MJL
Mitutoyo PCI-QVNET MP244101 PCI Card
Mitutoyo QVMC-3B MP244002 PCI Card
Agilent 34905-26511 50Ohm DUAL 4:1 MUX BOARD
Motorola CPV5000 SBC Compac CPCI card
VISION SYSTEMS 7100028.10 BOARD
FEI COMPANY QUAD AMP 150-002580 DRIVER BOARD
Agilent E4404-60034 E4404-20034 Board
GALIL DMC1740 4 AXIS MOTION CONTROLLER CARD
MYCOM INS50 INS50-120 Stepping Motor Driver
RVSI 68410 with 61095 2in1 Boards
TRANSTECH PARALLEL SYSTEM TMB08-NIC1T2
RVSI 151123 Board
RVSI 151477 Board
RVSI 151458 Board
RVSI 150487-61 Board
RVSI 308295-01 Board
RVSI 61162 Parsytec TPM-Box.Rev 2 Art-No:6103-01
RVSI Acuity Imaging 070-200200 Rev C PCI Frame Grabber
AVG UTICOR PCI 185 185-24A2F008E2 OPERATOR INTERFACE
Gidding & Lewis DSM015 Centurion
