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同時(shí)，我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)轉(zhuǎn)型開(kāi)始對(duì)鋼鐵和鐵礦石需求產(chǎn)生影響，主要表現(xiàn)在住宅房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)萎縮，商業(yè)建筑緊隨其后。邵安林認(rèn)為，近期鐵礦石價(jià)格出現(xiàn)大幅波動(dòng)，但市場(chǎng)低成本產(chǎn)能繼續(xù)釋放，市場(chǎng)供大于求的形勢(shì)沒(méi)有改觀，趨勢(shì)性上漲或高位運(yùn)行缺乏基本面支撐，市場(chǎng)價(jià)格低位運(yùn)行將成為常態(tài)，行業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)運(yùn)行形勢(shì)將會(huì)更加嚴(yán)峻。邵鈺涵表示，近期鐵礦石價(jià)格反彈更多來(lái)自于市場(chǎng)情緒，但生產(chǎn)成本縮減將繼續(xù)對(duì)鐵礦石價(jià)格造成壓力，2016年價(jià)格將逐步恢復(fù)，但到2020年仍將在每噸40~50美元徘徊。

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